With signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%, 2% Johnson, 1% Stein, 4% Undecided). Clinton has a steady lead with women (49% Clinton-44% Trump) while Trump has expanded his advantage with men (43-49%, 9/22: 42-44%). Independents prefer Trump (26-46%) but self-identified Moderates choose Clinton (57-31%).
Despite a dead heat on the ballot, a majority of likely voters expect Hillary Clinton to win the election on Tuesday (50% Clinton-37% Trump). This is consistent with our September results (49-38%). Women (51-34%) and men (49-42%) both believe Clinton will win. Likely voters in Pittsburgh and the Southwest (42-45%) and the South Central (29-56%) regions of the state are outliers in believing Trump will win (Northern Tier: 41-40%, Philadelphia/SE: 67-24%, Scranton/LV: 47-38%).